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14 September 2012

Droughts, Item Prices, and World Wide Municipal Unrest

By John B. Emmerson III


Perhaps, you have been using the news lately (Summer of 2012) and observed that we've had a horrible issue with droughts in the Midwestern component of the United States. This signifies the price of grain, wheat, corn, and soybeans among many other vegetation here at home have elevated. We also have a challenge because it will take water for livestock; those pets need feed which is also grown. If the ranchers don't have that, they have to take the pets to slaughter early, cutting down the herd, and that raises the cost of meat. We also have mandates for ethanol, and it takes water to refine ethanol, and it takes water to increase the corn - seed experts are working feverishly on drought resistant corn strategies.

Now we have fighting issues for food, much of this food we export to other nations. When we have shortages here, and because we grow so much of the world's foods supply due to our mechanization, incredible agricultural technology, and streamline submission system when our prices go up, it affects world commodity meals prices. We are not the only region that is having a drought scenario, and there are other difficulties as well such as the ever-growing Ug99 fungus which is tough wheat vegetation in other elements of the world.

A couple of decades ago Russia had big wildfires, and they were anxious they wouldn't have adequate wheat, so they canceled all exportation of wheat so that their individual citizens would have sufficient. This then wheat item prices worldwide to go skies high. Many nations such as Egypt needed that wheat to nourish their people as over 80 million of them only help to make one to two dollars per day time. Without the wheat, there was civil unrest, which was part of the cause for the Arab Spring.

They say a civilization is only three meals aside from chaos, if that is true we might be going for more problems in the coming year. In fact there was an interesting article in the Wall Street Diary on September 5, 2012 by Michael Haddon and Christopher Emsden entitled; "UN Calls for Measures to Avert a Food Crisis," and they are requesting the United States to forgo its require on ethanol creation, and use that water and property to grow agricultural items to ship to other components of the world to relieve the price.

Yes, commodity costs matter around the world, and when they get too far out of hit they can deliver down entire cultures governments. You should expect to see more challenges ahead in 2013. Please consider all this and believe on it.




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